MSPP has finally got round to updating its cholera statistics, bringing us up to January 4. As of that date, Haiti has seen 696,922 cases since the outbreak began in October 2010. Total deaths have reached 8,531.
MSPP's documentation page has recently been upgraded to the verge of uselessness, but I used to save the daily cholera reports, so I found the numbers for January 1, 2013. Between that date and January 1, 2014, Haiti recognized 59,633 cases, about 163 per day. Of those, 38,371 (105 per day) were serious enough to warrant hospitalization, and 610 Haitians died (1.6 per day). None are reported to have died since January 1.
These numbers are generally understood to be serious undercounts. Haiti's public health system is a mess, and it's a rare daily report that includes numbers from all the departments; some go weeks without reporting, and MSPP occasionally changes the numbers dramatically, usually on the first day after a couple of weeks without any reports. The Pan American Health Organization very occasionally frets about the unpaid salaries of MSPP employees, but no one, to my knowledge, has done any serious forensic examination of the true extent of Haiti's cholera in the past 38 months.
That, I'm afraid, is because no one really cares. The UN (of which PAHO is an agency) continues to deny responsibility for importing cholera into Haiti. The US government (of which the UN is a de facto agency in Haiti) just wants peace and quiet in the country without obvious American involvement. The NGOs mostly left when the donations ran out, and the media—both Haitian and international—lost interest long ago.
So we can expect a few hundred annual cholera deaths a year for the foreseeable future, not to mention the countless other deaths incurred due to poverty, social disruption, and the lack of basic sanitation. So far, about 7 percent—one in 14—of Haiti's population has fallen ill at least once from this very preventable disease, and that proportion will grow for the foreseeable future.
At a rough estimate, Haiti could continue to lose 224 people a month to cholera; that's the average over the past 38 months. Project that rate to October 2020, and a decade of cholera will have needlessly cost 26,940 Haitians their lives.