Via Haaretz, a dubious report: Ebola could spread out of Africa, doctors admit. Excerpt:
While Guinea claims its outbreak of Ebola is "almost under control," the fact is ethat the deadly virus had broken out of remote villages surrounded by forest into the capital city, and the rest of the world wonders: is it next?
As the death count neared 130, Guinea explained on Tuesday that new cases were becoming fewer and the pace of death was diminishing. But the incidence of the outbreak in the capital city of Conakry with its population of some 2 million – and international airport – is a terrifying thought for the rest of the planet.
Clearly, people carrying the virus who don't feel its effects yet can travel, and in fact, cases were reported in the neighboring country of Liberia – first near the border with Guinea and now in the capital of Monrovia as well. Cases are suspected in Mali and Sierra Leone as well.
Doctors beg to reassure that B-movies aside, Ebola is actually hard to contract. Catching the disease requires physical contact with a victim's body fluids. Or, with objects that were contaminated with a victim's fluids.
That said, the incubation period from infection to full-blown Ebola can take as long as three weeks, during at least some of which, the victim is in a state of blissful ignorance.
Sanjay Gupta, chief medical correspondent for CNN, agrees that asymptomatic sufferers taking international flights are a problem. That isn't a likely scenario, he told "The Wrap" - but said in the same breath that he sees an "increasingly real" likelihood of the virus spreading out of Africa.
With all respect to Dr. Gupta, it's a theoretical possibility but not a practical concern. A case or two might turn up elsewhere in the world, as MERS just has, but it would be quickly dealt with. Unless Filipinos and Malaysians take up West African bushmeat as a new delicacy, the only way Ebola could spread is human to human—and that would rapidly become impossible.