Via The Guardian: Zika virus could be bigger global health threat than Ebola, say health experts. Excerpt and then a comment:
The Zika virus outbreak in Latin America could be a bigger threat to global health than the Ebola epidemic that killed more than 11,000 people in Africa.
That is the stark claim of several senior health experts ahead of an emergency meeting of the World Health Organisation on Monday which will decide whether the Zika threat – which is linked to an alarming rise in cases of foetal deformation called microcephaly – should be rated a global health crisis.
“In many ways the Zika outbreak is worse than the Ebola epidemic of 2014-15,” said Jeremy Farrar, head of the Wellcome Trust. “Most virus carriers are symptomless. It is a silent infection in a group of highly vulnerable individuals – pregnant women – that is associated with a horrible outcome for their babies.”
There is no prospect of a vaccine for Zika at present, in contrast to Ebola, for which several are now under trial. “The real problem is that trying to develop a vaccine that would have to be tested on pregnant women is a practical and ethical nightmare,” added Mike Turner, head of infection and immuno-biology at the Wellcome Trust.
With at least 80% of those infected showing no symptoms, tracking the disease is extremely difficult. The mosquito species that spreads Zika, Aedes aegypti, has been expanding its range over the past few decades. “It loves urban life and has spread across the entire tropical belt of the planet, and of course that belt is expanding as global warming takes effect,” added Farrar.
Only extreme measures are likely to contain the Zika threat, said Turner. These could include the use of DDT to eradicate Aedes aegypti as quickly as possible. “We have to balance the risk posed to the environment by DDT with the terrible impact this virus is having on the unborn.”
I'm certainly willing to consider bringing back DDT if that's what it takes (but why couldn't we have found something since then that's both mosquito-hostile and bird-friendly?).
But saying "worse than Ebola" trivializes the state of global health.
When I feel in need of a reality check, I go to
Worldometers, which offers real-time counts of many kinds of statistics, with the numbers rising before my eyes. For example, it tells me on this peaceful Saturday night in Vancouver that over 25,000 people around the world have died of hunger today. So far in this year of grace 2016, over 147,000 have died of water-related diseases.
Worldometers tells me that over one million people have died this month of communicable diseases. Malaria in 30 days has killed over 80,000 of us. Over 600,000 children under five have died so far this year, and over 28,000 mothers have died giving birth—well over twice the total toll of Ebola, and 11 months to go. Go check the HIV/AIDS deaths for yourself (spoiler alert: they're well over ten times the deaths from Ebola).
So spare me, health experts, from idle comparisons between new diseases that are still mere distractions from the old standbys that have killed us by the million for centuries.
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